October 26, 2016

Morning Line

Based on recent poll averages

Nationally, Hillary Clinton is five points ahead of Trump. This this is 7 points better than her worst position vs Trump. Her current average percentage is 45%, Her campaign range has been 38-48%

Clinton is leading with 230 of the needed 270 electoral votes, down 45 from her best of 275 early in the campaign. Another 90 electoral votes are possibly Democratic. 95 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 84 are possible. This would still leave him 94 votes short.

In the Senate the Democrats stand to pick up one and have a narrow lead in three currently GOP seats. One current Demcoratic seat is in doubt. The GOP has a narrow lead in one current Democratic seat. Three GOP seats are in doubt. The Dems need to win four more seats (plus a Democratic Veep) to control the Senate.

Democrats have already gained one governorship and could gain two more. One current Democratic governorship is in doubt

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