September 8, 2016

Morning Line

Based on the average of recent polls, Clinton has, in the last few days, lost about a quarter of the electoral votes she needs to win. This is an unusual slip for Clinton, although she still remains significantly ahead of Trump. Clinton has172 of the needed 270 votes, down from her best of 275.. Another 154 electoral votes are possibly Democratic. Only 63 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 67 are possible.

Nationally, Hillary Clinton is two points ahead of Trump, a statistical ties. She is 4 points better than her worst to date. Her average of 41% is 5 below her best to date and 3 above her worst to date.

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