August 17, 2016
The future still lies ahead
Sam Smith - An increasing number of journalists are making predictions in the presidential race based on current data - some so current it only includes the latest poll. The Review has long given its readers the latest polling data, but using multi-poll returns and in a way that does not assume what's happening today will still be true in November.
Right now Hillary Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes based on recent polls but is in a statistical tie with Trump based on the national popular vote. But it is unlikely that we have seen the last of scandals that will hurt one or both candidates.
So our system is to tell you where things seem to stand right now and leave tomorrow to the future.