March 12, 2016

Variables most linked to a county's support for Trump



A correlation of 1 means the variable is a perfect indicator of Trump support.
Variable Correlation
White, no high school diploma
0.61

“Americans”
Percent reporting ancestry as “American” on the census
0.57

Mobile homes
Percent living in a mobile home
0.54

“Old economy” jobs
Includes agriculture, construction, manufacturing, trade
0.50

History of voting for segregationists
Support for George Wallace (1968)
0.47

Labor participation rate
–0.43

Born in United States
0.43

Evangelical Christians
0.42

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