February 17, 2016

Morning Line

Based on the average of recent polls:
  • With 33 points, Trump has a 11 point lead ahead of Cruz who has a personal high of 22. Rubio has 18. Kasich has moved up to fourth place.Trump's best lead so far: 26
  • Nationally, Clinton leads Sanders by 11. Record low is 5
  • Clinton would lose to Kasich by 11 while Sanders would be in a statistical tie. Rubio would be Clinton by 5 and Cruz would beat Sanders by 7. All the rest are tied.
  • In a three way race Trump would win by 7 against Sanders & Bloomberg. It would be a toss up with Clinton, Trump and Bloomberg.
  • In South Carolina Trump leads by 18 and Clinton by 17. Democratic race is tightening
  • In Nevada Trump leads by 20, Clinton and Sanders are statistically tied

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