November 5, 2012

Latino vote for Obama could set record

Independent Voters Network - The latest Latino Decisions tracking poll has President Obama way ahead among Latino voters with a total of 73% of respondents saying they plan to vote for Obama, and only 22% of respondents saying they plan to vote for Governor Mitt Romney.

This latest Latino voters poll reveals the potential for a historic landslide among Latino voters in a presidential election. The highest percentage of Latinos that has ever voted for a presidential candidate since 1980 was 72% for Bill Clinton in his successful 1996 bid for reelection.

One fascinating analysis at The Washington Post acknowledges the role of immigration policy and Mitt Romney’s hard line immigration rhetoric during the Republican primary, but contends that two other issues may have done more to shape this electoral outcome: 1) Republican opposition to the Democrats’ health care bill, and 2) Mr. Obama’s appointment of Sonia Sotomayor to the Supreme Court over Republican objections.

Another analysis at The Hill agrees that immigration policy is not the main issue for Latino voters, but suggests that jobs, home affordability, and business opportunities may be just as important as health care to Latino voters, in an analysis that suggests the latest poll figures might be skewed a little toward the incumbent.

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